Monday, February 10, 2014

Plan for Option 2, drifting to Option 3

If you have not reviewed CBO's 24 JAN brief, "Prospects For DoD's Budget Over The Next Decade" - you need to now.

Here is the Salamander framework.

1. DOD estimates are way too optimistic and unrealistic.
2. The market force for the Welfare State is much stronger than the Military Industrial Complex.
3. The larger economic issues we will see over the next two decades in the 2nd and 3rd order effects from the Weimar debt policies of the last decade will put even more pressures on our DOD budgets.
4. Without steady and consistent civilian leaders over the next decade, efficiencies will not be found in a smart way.

Here is the slide I would like for you all to ponder.

Hat tip Lee.

1 comment:

Joe Katzman said...

That looks about right.

Have seen this coming for some time, the math is simply remorseless. There's going to be an incredible amount of surplus/ stored gear.

And frankly, in a post-Weimar situation, having a much smaller military may not be the worst thing in the world.

What has dismayed me is the fact that the US military has remained absolutely unconcerned about the operating costs of the things it buys, at a time when that should be very close to priority 1.