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I'm going to blaspheme a bit, but stick with me here.
Regulars here know that in the last two elections, I voted - reluctantly - for John McCain and Mitt Romney. Neither were my first choices, I was a Giuliani and Pawlenty guy, but as I have a natural aversion to leftists, entitled snobs, I could not even think of voting for President Obama. Oh well, such are the glories of democracies.
It wasn't long after the 2008 election - actually it started for me before the election - that it became clear that a President McCain would be the one could put the Republican Party in the bin with the Whigs.
He liked nothing more than sticking it to those who were supposed to be closest to him, and it seemed his second joy was to the the one who showed how awesome he was by being the one that let the other political side win.
That would have been what would have destroyed what little loyal Republican base he should naturally have. What would have brought the rest of the country naturally against him and further destroyed the Republican brand, would have been his desire to put American boots on the ground hither and yon.
Our nation is tired of foreign wars. Though I think Obama has been too detached - imagine the political left of this nation with a killer drone policy even more robust than it is now, along with thousands of American forces across the swath of the Maghreb and the Levant from Tripoli to Aleppo and who knows where else.
No.
Then in 2012 we have Mitt. Mitt would have been a much better leader and President than either McCain or Obama - especially in foreign policy - but he would have been the death of the Republican party, as his tendency to act in a way that delights his enemies and confounds his friends is well outlined by John Tamny at RCM;
Perhaps what's most offensive about Romney's flip flop is that he no doubt knows the minimum wage is superfluous for the majority, while harmful to a small, impoverished minority. Romney's hardly a fool, and having revived sick businesses on the way to great wealth, he surely knows wage mandates help no one, and certainly don't help businesses.
All of this is offensive because it speaks to a politician who will say anything to curry favor with voters; the real world implications of his views be damned. Looking back to 2012, Romney was no doubt similarly aware that his professed policy of getting "tough on China" was not only an economically illiterate stance, but also one that, if implemented, would bring about global economic harm, a stock market crash, and if world history is any guide, perhaps war.
When we consider Romney's overtly political utterances in a broader sense, what's increasingly apparent is that the former candidate is rather self-unaware when it comes to winning votes. This matters because despite what we hear, the electorate in total isn't stupid. Not only has the electorate historically tuned out politicians running on economy-sapping protectionist planks, but the electorate is increasingly wise to politicians so public with their lack of conviction.
Considering the Republican Party itself, members of it should view the 2012 results with relief. Not only were Romney's promises about what he would do about China easily more economically crippling than anything President Obama proposed, it should also be said that Obama's re-election was the best thing that ever happened to the freedom movement. Indeed, the electorate got to see up close the horrors of big government in the form of Obamacare's implementation, and the long-term result will be a more skeptical electorate about politicians who define themselves through promises made with the money of others.
The Republicans dodged a bullet in 2012 with Mitt Romney's aimless candidacy. This was obvious back then, but was made even more obvious last week in light of his latest utterance. The former candidate will truly "Say Anything," and because Romney's that way, the GOP would have lost ground had he won.
Part of me believes that both the Republican party and the nation are better off with McCain being elected. I have grown to think that with Romney, the nation would have been better, but the Republican party would have imploded.
Doesn't really matter - we have President Obama until early 2017.
Oh, in case you are wondering who Salamander of Lost Causes prefers at this point - Gov. Scott Walker (R-WI).
After digesting things a bit over the last few days about Romney's pick of Paul Ryan (R-WI) as his VP, I think he nailed it.
Spot on nailed it.
This election is going to turn one simple thing; economics.
Putting all the other things President Obama may or may not have done since he was elected in 2008 - one thing is clear; he, his Party, and his administration cannot responsibly run a country. He can't get votes for his own budget - and his party runs the Senate where they haven't passed a budget in over 1,200 days. They have failed; measured and found wanting.
Whatever they are focused on, it is clear what they are not focused on - the sustainability of our nation's economy. History shows us that debt is decay, and any culture that cannot in the short term get its budget right in a time of peace will not survive. We are so far off the chart right now - people almost can't understand what it means. Every man, woman, and child - from the newborn to the centenarian in a hospice owes $50,839.02.
Romney's public and private sector record of success speaks for itself. Ryan is one of the only people in Congress who is willing to not only explain the unsustainable path we are on - but proposes a path forward. It isn't a path of unicorns poop'n Skittles, but it is a path founded on fact and math - grounded on reality. It is a path that treats us like adults.
Whoever takes over from President Obama either in 2013 or 2017 will need to do a lot of fixing and will have to speak a lot of uncomfortable truths. Romney & Ryan can do it now, while the fix can be made with much less pain than they will require in four more years.
If you want a team to start to fix things back to something that you can actually chart without getting sick to your stomach for what it means for your children, then you have that chance.
If you want one more hit - just another hit before you give up the pipe - then don't.
We have a chance if we are willing to take it.
Oh, as a side note; Ryan is Gen X. 'Nuff said.
Jeff Jacoby nails it on why - believe it or not; the youth candidate actually is Mitt.‘I Don’t mean to be flip with this,’’ said Mitt Romney during a q-and-a with students at the University of Chicago last week. “But I don’t see how a young American can vote for a Democrat.’’ He cheerfully apologized to anyone who might find such a comment “offensive,’’ but went on to explain why he was in earnest .
The Democratic Party “is focused on providing more and more benefits to my generation, mounting trillion-dollar annual deficits my generation will never pay for,’’
...
Washington’s staggering spending binge is entailing a burden of fearsome proportions on the millennial generation — voters in their late teens and 20s. With the government more than $15.5 trillion in debt and continuing to borrow 40 cents of every dollar it spends , Generation Y is in for a prolonged economic beating. The national debt now exceeds the entire annual output of the US economy. Millennials will be paying for it through higher taxes, slower growth, reduced public services, fewer jobs, lower incomes, and a more uncertain future than their parents or grandparents confronted.
With, of course, the help of their father - my kids get it and none of them can even drive yet.This is exactly what this unbearable debt we are taking on is - giving the older generations guv'munt jobs, goods, and services the nation cannot afford by taking out loans in the name of children - and doing it at a peacetime rate that is unheard of in modern history.It is smart to point out who is to blame, and who is going to have to fix it. The cut off is 55 for most "ideas" - so you know what that means. The tail end of the Boomers, Gen X, Gen Y, and Mellennials are going to eat it - the question is how hard.The earlier we act - the less pain we will have. We can take a hit like Germany did earlier last decade - or we can implode like the Greeks. The chance to be Germany actually passed us a few years ago - best case now is the UK ... but we are trending towards Greece and Spain at this rate.If the youth really were voting their interests - they wouldn't be voting for the Democrats this cycle; unless of course their interest is to be the indentured servants of the Boomers.
Just for the record - I'm going to show my hand just so you know whose stands I'm sitting in; though I won't be a cheerleader.
I've kept quite since T-Paw left the stage; but it is time. Just like 2008 when my top candidate fell out (that time Giuliani) - this time I am with my #2; Romney.
I'm not going to talk down anyone else and I will keep my reasons simple; we need a fixer. Romney is a fixer. We don't need to repeat the 2010 mistakes of Delaware and Nevada either.
I'm not going to be pushing Romney every day either. If you want to argue about it - feel free to in comments, but I won't play.
... and we will fall; relatively.German voters handed conservative Chancellor Angela Merkel a second term and a chance to create new center-right government Sunday, while her center-left rivals suffered a historic defeat in the national election.
Merkel succeeded in ending her "grand coalition" with the center-left Social Democrats led by challenger Frank-Walter Steinmeier, the current foreign minister, according to television projections. She can now form a government with the pro-business Free Democrats, who performed very strongly.
"We have achieved something great," a beaming Merkel told supporters. "We have managed to achieve our election aim of a stable majority in Germany for a new government."
She vowed to hold "swift and decisive" coalition talks with the Free Democrats' leader, Guido Westerwelle, who has been widely tipped as Germany's next foreign minister.
Merkel has argued that a change of coalition was needed to ensure stronger economic growth as Germany emerges from a deep recession. In joining with the Free Democrats, she hopes to cut taxes and halt a plan to shut down Germany's nuclear power plants by 2021.
They are heading in the proven path to economic success, as we head down the proven path to inflation and debt-slavery.
We will have to wait. 2010, if the Dems lose the House, could provide a holding action until 2012. If we are lucky enough to get a fixer like Romney or Pawlenty in 2012, then we can start the long path to break even.
We will see. Otherwise - Argentina awaits.
Oh, as side note. A German named Guido. Does that sound like the start of a bar joke - or is it just me? So, this German guy named Guido goes into a bar ...
As most of you know, in the last election I supported Giuliani, then Romney, and then McCain. (typical foam flecked wingnut, aren't I?)While I was playing the role of Bull Conner with my firehoses and dogs yesterday, Mike Potemra put out something that has been bouncing around my nogg'n now and then over the last month.Where can we find someone with a proven track record of fixing economic and programmatic cock-ups and has a track record of fighting spending and budget goofs?Yep, Mitt Romney.Four years from now, Mitt Romney will be president of the United States.
My reasoning is as follows. Point One: The Obama team, while still basking in honeymoon-level approval ratings today, has pointed itself in a direction that will result in disappointed hopes for the American people. They have drastically overpromised, and their policies—even if they are not outright disastrous—will end up inciting more passionate discontent than passionate support. Point Two: The Republicans always nominate for president the candidate who’s next in line, even if that person is deeply unpopular (e.g., the GOP base’s hatred for John McCain did not prevent him from being nominated; he was the guy who lost to Bush in 2000, ergo…). In 2008, the runner-up was Romney. Add to that frontrunner status the fact that Romney has credibility on economics and budgeting, and he’s the prohibitive favorite. Add Point One to Point Two, and the result is a Romney presidency.
A preemptive rejoinder, lest anyone dismiss this prediction as Romney propaganda: I supported McCain over Romney in 2008, and am nowhere near deciding whom to support in 2012.
Perfect? No. No one is. Right man at the right time to fix the fiscal house of disorder? I can't think of anyone better - can you - I can't?
Enough of that for now though - 2010 first.
As some of you may recall, once Giuliani dropped out I shifted my flag to Romney. Back then, my number one reason was like Giuliani - I wanted a problem solver. There are always clouds on the horizon, and when you have a stressed ship in the roaring 40s, you don't put a non-qual at the helm while shipping water. I lost.As so many start to have buyer's remorse and look for an adult - Mr. Hair doesn't look so bad now, does he?For a while, it looked like Mitt Romney would become more a figure of ridicule than promise. Stiff, square, and allegedly two-faced, the former Massachusetts governor was a triple-punchline target of late-night comics.
But now, with a more statesmanlike bearing and some measured criticisms of the Obama administration, Romney suddenly seems like the only adult left standing among the 2012 Republican presidential hopefuls.
...
But the focus on economic issues that followed the campaign actually played to Romney's strengths. The former head of a private-equity firm, Romney has been one of the few Republicans to go beyond anti-pork rhetoric and talk in depth about economic issues.
Last month, he smartly cast his lot with his friend, former eBay impresario Meg Whitman, who is running for governor of California as an entrepreneurial savior. She's not a bad bet to win both the GOP nomination and the governorship, while test-driving Romney's message of economic growth.
And then, while Limbaugh and some other CPAC speakers were serving up cable-show vitriol, Romney made clear that he wished President Obama well and hoped for the best for the country. He then offered a more measured - and therefore more believable - critique of the new administration.
"Parts of the stimulus will, in fact, do some good," he averred. "But too much of the bill was shortsighted and wasteful.
"So far, the administration has been unclear on what it will do to address the huge decline in the pool of risk and investment capital," he said, arguing that an elimination of taxes on capital gains, dividends, and interest could spur investment.
It will be a long four years - I think a lot of people will want a professional with a history in gov'munt and out of fixing problems.
We'll see.
This did it for me last night, know why?Answer at lunch.