Thursday, December 23, 2010

Best Task Force Name .... EVAH!!!

Don't say spies don't have a sense of humor.
The CIA has launched a taskforce to assess the impact of 250,000 leaked US diplomatic cables. Its name? WikiLeaks Task Force, or WTF for short.
That isn't TheOnion - but TheGuardian. Hard to tell the difference sometimes ... but looks ligit.

LMFAO.

Diversity Thursday

Instead of a snarky rant - let's have a serious DivThu post today.
It might help explain why otherwise smart, well meaning people find themselves at the end of the day executing a discriminatory policy in pursuit of anti-discrimination.

This was going to be a post about education with some title such as "The NEA - national security threat ..." or sump'n.

Let's touch on a bit of that before wandering into the Diversity swamp. Since the Federal Guv'munt went ear deep in the education system with the gift President Carter gave to the teacher's unions in the creation of the Department of Education - has education in this nation improved or declined?

As the teacher's unions gain more and more control - are things better or worse?

Can we call the education system they have created in the last two generations a national security issue?
Sure, if the latest results from the ASVAB are any reading.
Nearly one-fourth of the students who try to join the U.S. Army fail its entrance exam, painting a grim picture of an education system that produces graduates who can't answer basic math, science and reading questions, according to a new study released Tuesday.

The report by The Education Trust bolsters a growing worry among military and education leaders that the pool of young people qualified for military service will grow too small.

"Too many of our high school students are not graduating ready to begin college or a career - and many are not eligible to serve in our armed forces," U.S. Education Secretary Arne Duncan told the AP. "I am deeply troubled by the national security burden created by America's underperforming education system."
All my kids are in private schools for a reason. This is no shock.

Now to get back to the Diversity angle. As we have been told over and over from the CNO on down - senior leadership wants the Navy officer corps to "look like America." Yes, a simple minded, retrograde, and racist view of things - but these people are not really racist even though they promote racist programs - right?

Why then do we find a system wormed-through with different race-based programs, standards, and performance expectations? Simple - it is all numbers. The tyranny of math. You think an organization of engineers would accept that - but somethings are harder than numbers.

If all groups performed close to each other on objective criteria, then a fair and honest effort to recruit equally among our nation's people should get your numbers close to whatever bean counting program you use. If it didn't, then you may have a problem. Same raw material gives you the chance to create the same result.

That isn't the reality though. The fact is that different groups are performing at different levels. As a result, you cannot get the same result at the end - you are working with different raw materials. To get a constant % at the end of the process when you have widely different % raw material at the start, for lower performing groups you have a very smaller percentage of equally qualified people to recruit from at the top-level. Some do - but not enough.
The study shows wide disparities in scores among white and minority students, similar to racial gaps on other standardized tests. Nearly 40 percent of black students and 30 percent of Hispanics don't pass, compared with 16 percent of whites. The average score for blacks is 38 and for Hispanics is 44, compared to whites' average score of 55.

Even those passing muster on the Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery, or ASVAB, usually aren't getting scores high enough to snag the best jobs.
There you go. You can't get there from here without doing one of two things - or both of them; you can lower standards, or discriminate against whites (and some asian groups (Chinese, Japanese, Korean), as other standard testing systems have those asians scoring higher than whites). That is just math.

If you have a fair system based on opportunity and meritocracy founded on objective criteria - today you cannot achieve a face that looks like the USA.

If you want to do that - you need to fix our public education system first. That is hard to do. It is easier to discriminate because it is easier to tear down than to build up.

People are people, but for a variety of cultural, economic, and educational reasons - they are not performing at the same % breakout. That isn't the fault of the Navy - and the Navy should not besmirch its honor by lying, cheating, and stealing opportunity from others simply to make the end result "look right."

The Navy is not full of racists - just the opposite. We should stop acting like one in order to prove to a select group of rabble-rousers that we are not. Bad logic, bad policy - and a habit that creates a culture of deception and conflict.

Ask why our education system cannot educate its children equally - then you will be on the right path.

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

The common sense of the census

From Weigel at Slate;
It's official: Here are the states gaining and losing seats (and thus electoral votes) in 2011. I've put states entirely controlled by Republicans in bold and states entirely controlled by Democrats in italics, although in some of these states there are backstops against total partisan redistricting -- Arizona, for example, has a nonpartisan panel. The gainers:

Arizona +1
Florida +2
Georgia +1

Nevada +1
South Carolina +1
Texas +4
Utah +1

Washington +1

The losers:

Illinois -1
Iowa -1
Louisiana -1
Massachusetts -1
Michigan -1
Missouri -1
New Jersey -1
New York -2
Ohio -2
Pennsylvania -1
This is about as bad as it could get for Democrats, and as good as it could get for Republicans. The next GOP presidential candidate gets six free electoral votes from South Carolina, Texas, Utah. The Democratic caucus in the House is about to see internal warfare in the rust belt and northeast, as their members are forced into Thunderdome battle for the diminished number of seats. Only in Illinois, I think, will the Democrats be able to create a map that hurts the GOP's newly elected members and takes back a seat or two.
People in a free society vote with their feet. What we all know instinctly we can see in the census data.People are voting with their feet. Not from bad to good weather, but from high tax to low tax. California vs. Texas is a perfect example. Not just taxes, but business climate as well.

One bad side of this is again California. They continue to trade out high-education, high-earning native born citizens for poorly educated, net-drain on the government immigrants. Their educated Leftists who leave the land they ruined are in many cases not changing their politics - they are taking it with them.

As a result, the shifting populations of economic refugees from CA and other Blue States are ruining politics from Wake County in North Carolina to King County in Washington as they leave CA, MA, NY and take their toxic poltics with them, soiling another nest - but maybe they'll learn. This time. Maybe.

You can see the clash though from the Duck Hunters off the Potomac other places they move to. Oh well - it is a free country. The greatness of our system is that different States can try different things. When one State fails, hopefully others will not repeat the mistake. When one State succeeds, hopefully others will follow.

Another
truth comes out when you look at the census data in a long virew - one I ususally cover on Thursday. As any Ward Boss will tell you - one of the easiest ways to control a group of people and to stop them from being free thinking individuals is to have them act based on racial and sectarian lines.

That is why the whole Diversity bit is more political than anything else, and why I will continue to point out that by pushing a retrograde sectarian policy as pushed by the Diversity Bullies - the Navy is engaging in politics pure and simple. That is why it is well withing a standard deviation to use the moniker; "CNO Roughead (D-Navy)."

Via BaseballCrank;
These numbers are an opportunity for Republicans, but also a challenge, since the main areas undergoing population growth are (with a few exceptions like Utah) growing mainly through a growing Latino population. Which explains why Democrats are so eager to try to divide off Latino voters to vote as a homogenous race-conscious bloc the way African-Americans do; it’s their only path to offset their shrinking deep-blue-state power base. There’s no future in being the party of the Northeast and the West Coast, and Democrats know this; liberal pundits and left-wing bloggers are quite open about the extent to which they bank on racial demographics as their salvation, and those demographics only benefit them if they can maintain very high rates of racial division in the voting patterns of Latino and African-American voters, far higher than you would find among white voters. Republicans don’t have to win the Latino vote outright to fend off that challenge, they only need individual Latinos to remain open enough to both sides that Republicans can persuade a decent percentage to vote GOP, as the Democrats still do among white voters. Frankly, it’s not a coincidence that the two states with the most population growth have had, for the past decade and a half, GOP governors starting with George W. and Jeb Bush who worked hard to cater to Latino voters and declined to join in the harshest anti-immigration (even anti-illegal-immigration) rhetoric or policies.

Let’s look deeper at the map through the eyes of a Democrat, and you can see why the campaign of relentless racial division touted on a daily basis by left-leaning commentators and pursued by President Obama in some of his ugliest moments of the 2010 stretch run – calling Republicans the ‘enemies’ of Latinos who had to be ‘punished,’ asserting that Republicans were ‘counting on …black folks staying home’ – will only be exacerbated as Obama’s natural strategy for 2012, given how his performance in office has lost him much of the support among white voters (and some among Latino voters) that he enjoyed in 2008.”
Does that mean that if you believe that people should be judged by the content of their character and not the color of their skin that you are a Republican? Does that mean that you think one should vote based on the judgment of upper brain functions and not the tribal instincts from the most primitive parts of our DNA - that you are a Republican?

No, of course not - you can find good people on both sides of the aisle. But if the Democrats want to make the logic train go there; so be it.


Hat tip HotAir.
Bad edit this AM - post now fixed.

UPDATE: Patrick Ruffini agrees,
Not only did the South and West win -- which liberals will dismiss as a function of weather -- but low tax states consistently beat high tax states. Not only did conservative states beat liberal states, most tellingly, the winners were almost to a man conservatively governed.

Consider this striking fact unearthed by political strategist (and former Giuliani adviser) Ken Kurson, posted on Facebook:

    Avg tax rate in states gaining a Congressional seat: 2.8%
    Avg tax rate in states losing a Congressional seat: 6.05%
    People vote with their feet.

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

Biden: the retreat will be televised

Another chapter in what has to be the worst Strategic Communications campaign since the Cambodian Invasion.

The President announces a nuanced AF-PAK Strategy (a post I am working on for later this week) - as US forces continue to shape at the Tactical level in an exemplary manner.

Well --- then Biden weighs in with something that does but one thing; provides comfort to the enemy and tells our friends that they had better look towards "Plan B."
Speaking on NBC’s “Meet the Press” on Sunday, the master of subtle diplomatic messaging declared that on July 2011 the U.S. really will begin to leave the Afghan theater. “It will not be a token amount” of troops leaving, Mr. Biden said, adding that “We’re going to be totally of there come hell or high water by 2014.
Yes, a retreat under fire will be both hell and high water.

Watch the next in line to The Presidency yourself.


Just to make sure that everyone knows we plan to retreat; the Voice of America in Afghanistan has translated this into Pashtu (I think) and Dari. Nice.

Well - if that is it; slow trickle summer 2011 and pell-mell retreat in 2014, then what are we actually doing?

Well, if I were still in the business, with this Direction and Guidance there is one simple thing to do - with what you have try your best to create the best of possible conditions on the ground before you leave. Once you do that - then you have hope. Hope isn't a plan, but sometimes it is all the politicians give you. Good luck guys - I don't envy your COA Development.

Not since the 93rd Congress have we seen such irresponsible behavior towards engineering defeat.

AFG was "my war" not IRQ. I remember talking with my parents in mid-'07 when IRQ was so dire and AFG seemed so OK to those reading the press. My mother especially was shocked when I told her that it was AFG that worried me, not IRQ. The reason was that the solution to AFG was the 8-yr olds in the classroom today that we hoped to have literate in 10 years so they could re-form a civil society. I didn't feel that we could have the patience required to see it through multiple administrations. The AFG know to look for any sign of weakness so they can make plans accordingly. They trust no one - and for good reason.

I don't know how much more we can advertise weakness than this. If I were Tajik, Hazara, or Uzbek and did not have the money or inclination to emigrate - I would be rearming with a passion with plans to eliminate all Pashtun pockets in my area at the first chance I can between now and 2014. If I were Pashtun, I wouldn't get withing 10 yards of anything associated with the USA/ISAF/Afghan government.

Those are the pragmatic things to do. Not the right thing to do perhaps, but the pragmatic if you live in that neighborhood. I would say that if not already, if we follow through with 2011's initial retreat, over 51% of AFG will feel the same.

Well, just be happy this crew wasn't in power in '07. Remember, Biden was the one that thought the solution to IRQ was to cut it into three parts while a quasi-civil war was going on. Brilliant that was.

Back to AFG though; if you aren't in it to win - then why are you there?

The wages of big government

The Left is impaling itself on its own sword. From 60 Minutes,

BEHOLD!



American politics as you think you know it is dead; most people just don't realize it. A newly dead corpse still has some heat ....

Monday, December 20, 2010

Germany signals retreat


They join the Dutch, Canadians, Brits, French, ..... well ... pretty much everyone else who is going home while the getting is still good.
Germany has announced plans to withdraw its troops from Afghanistan more quickly than expected, with the pullout beginning next year and finishing by 2014.

German Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle told the parliament Thursday that the pullout will begin about a year from now -- earlier than the 2012 date outlined in a 108-page progress report on Germany's mission in Afghanistan, issued earlier this week. Germany has been reviewing its Afghan plans at the same time that President Barack Obama has, and on Thursday the president announced details of his Afghan strategy review, citing slow progress but saying "we are on track to achieve our goals."
I don't blame them. We signaled our retreat with the President's West Point speech last year - and shifting to 2014 didn't change the fact that we have decided to accept ultimate defeat on our own choosing.

It doesn't matter that the surge we started in '08 is now fully up to speed and achieving the effects we want. Tactical and Operational success mean nothing of the Strategic and Political fail.

We are the big player in AFG. If I were German, I would bring my people home even earlier. The present administration lacks the will to win.

President Obama is completely detached from reality.
With those additional forces in Afghanistan, we are making considerable gains toward our military objectives. The additional military and civilian personnel that I ordered in Afghanistan are now in place, along with additional forces from our coalition, which has grown to 49 nations.
No sir; all your usable and partially usable maneuver forces from allied nations are going home. With Germany leaving - the balance will follow them. They are following your lead in retreat on a timetable. Congratulate yourself - you just traded a good chance for some kind of victory for certain defeat.

The West is leaving AFG to its own devices. History will not look kindly on NATO's dithering from late '05 through today, or the Obama Administration's withdrawal under fire. He took the surge the previous administration gave him and wasted it.

The future is unknown - but my money is that we just promised a very bloody next quarter century to our children.

Also, check out my last post at Big Peace on Holbrooke's final service to his nation.


HASC Republican line-up

Rep. West (R-FL), LtCol USA (Ret) made the cut.

Outstanding.
From InsideDefense, the new Republicans selected for the House Armed Services Committee include (in alphabetical order):
  • Mo Brooks - Alabama
  • Chris Gibson - New York
  • Tim Griffin - Arkansas
  • Vicky Hartzler - Missouri
  • Steve Palazzo - Mississippi
  • Scott Rigell - Virginia
  • Martha Roby - Alabama
  • Jon Runyan - New Jersey
  • Bobby Schilling - Illinois
  • Austin Scott - Georgia
  • Allen West - Florida
  • Todd Young - Indiana
I can't find out who the Democrats will be.

Hat tip Matthew.